BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Montana St
Class: 1B Class Rank: 5 Overall: (6-2) Overall Strength = 164.38
Conference: Big Sky Conference Record: (4-0) | District: 1B-01 Record: (6-1)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk (W-L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/30/2025 Away L 148.80 13 59 1A 4 (7-1) Oregon -13.01 * -10.25 -32.99
2 09/06/2025 Home L * 147.98 24 30 1B 7 (7-1) South Dakota St -13.84 -6.84 7.84
3 09/13/2025 Home W * 161.50 41 7 1B 63 (4-4) San Diego -0.31 * 22.09 34.31
4 09/20/2025 Home W * 142.42 17 0 1B 84 (3-6) Mercyhurst -19.40 * 8.30 36.40
5 09/27/2025 Home W * * 184.28 57 3 1B 45 (4-4) Eastern Washington 22.47 * 20.58 31.53
6 10/04/2025 Away W * * 169.26 34 10 1B 25 (5-3) Northern Arizona 7.44 12.84 16.56
7 10/11/2025 Home W * * 175.39 48 14 1B 27 (2-6) Idaho St 13.58 16.80 20.42
8 10/25/2025 Away W * * 164.88 34 17 1B 22 (3-5) Cal Poly SLO 3.07 17.33 13.93
9 11/01/2025 Away * * 1B 35 (3-5) Northern Colorado 22.38
10 11/08/2025 Home * * 1B 75 (3-5) Weber St 36.96
11 11/15/2025 Home * * 1B 8 (6-1) UC-Davis 12.88
12 11/22/2025 Away * * 1B 6 (8-0) Montana 2.78
Averages 161.81 33.5 17.5
Best game: 184.28 = 54 point win over Eastern Washington
Worst game: 142.42 = 17 point win over Mercyhurst
Team stdev: 14.60