BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Montana St
Class: 1B Class Rank: 2 Overall: (14-2) Overall Strength = 158.19
Conference: Big Sky Conference Record: (9-0) | District: 1B-01 Record: (14-1)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/30/2025 Away L 142.32 13 59 1A 5 (13- 2) Oregon -15.09 -10.25 -30.91
2 09/06/2025 Home L * 135.97 24 30 1B 7 ( 9- 5) South Dakota St -21.44 -6.84 15.44
3 09/13/2025 Home W * 154.65 41 7 1B 71 ( 8- 4) San Diego -2.77 * 22.09 36.77
4 09/20/2025 Home W * 132.64 17 0 1B 94 ( 5- 7) Mercyhurst -24.78 * 8.30 41.78
5 09/27/2025 Home W * * 180.16 57 3 1B 41 ( 5- 7) Eastern Washington 22.75 20.59 31.25
6 10/04/2025 Away W * * 161.59 34 10 1B 25 ( 7- 5) Northern Arizona 4.17 12.83 19.83
7 10/11/2025 Home W * * 172.18 48 14 1B 15 ( 6- 6) Idaho St 14.77 16.80 19.23
8 10/25/2025 Away W * * 153.91 34 17 1B 26 ( 4- 8) Cal Poly SLO -3.51 17.37 20.51
9 11/01/2025 Away W * * 174.75 55 7 1B 58 ( 4- 8) Northern Colorado 17.34 22.39 30.66
10 11/08/2025 Home W * * 174.90 66 14 1B 51 ( 4- 8) Weber St 17.49 * 38.62 34.51
11 11/15/2025 Home W * * 159.94 38 17 1B 9 ( 9- 4) UC-Davis 2.53 14.12 18.47
12 11/22/2025 Away W * * 155.71 31 28 1B 5 (13- 2) Montana -1.71 3.34 4.71
13 12/06/2025 Home W * 145.01 21 13 1B 19 ( 9- 3) Yale -12.40 18.45 20.40
14 12/12/2025 Home W * 156.40 44 28 1B 10 (11- 3) Stephen F. Austin -1.01 20.03 17.01
15 12/20/2025 Home W * * 173.81 48 23 1B 5 (13- 2) Montana 16.40 10.66 8.60
16 01/05/2026 Neutral W * 144.70 35 34 1B 6 (12- 5) Illinois St -12.71 13.47 13.71
Averages 157.42 37.9 19.0
Best game: 180.16 = 54 point win over Eastern Washington
Worst game: 132.64 = 17 point win over Mercyhurst
Team stdev: 14.78