BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Montana St
Class: 1B Class Rank: 4 Overall: (4-2) Overall Strength = 171.56
Conference: Big Sky Conference Record: (2-0) | District: 1B-01 Record: (4-1)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk (W-L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/30/2025 Away L 155.48 13 59 1A 13 (5-0) Oregon -14.40 * -10.25 -31.60
2 09/06/2025 Home L * 165.07 24 30 1B 7 (5-0) South Dakota St -4.81 -6.86 -1.19
3 09/13/2025 Home W * 172.04 41 7 1B 66 (3-3) San Diego 2.15 * 22.08 31.85
4 09/20/2025 Home W * 159.45 17 0 1B 48 (2-4) Mercyhurst -10.44 * 8.33 27.44
5 09/27/2025 Home W * * 189.24 57 3 1B 59 (2-4) Eastern Washington 19.35 * 20.31 34.65
6 10/04/2025 Away W * * 178.05 34 10 1B 31 (4-2) Northern Arizona 8.16 12.87 15.84
7 10/11/2025 Home * * 1B 16 (2-4) Idaho St 16.81
8 10/25/2025 Away * * 1B 24 (3-3) Cal Poly SLO 16.33
9 11/01/2025 Away * * 1B 42 (2-3) Northern Colorado 23.43
10 11/08/2025 Home * * 1B 78 (2-3) Weber St 36.62
11 11/15/2025 Home * * 1B 12 (4-1) UC-Davis 14.27
12 11/22/2025 Away * * 1B 5 (5-0) Montana -1.36
Averages 169.89 31.0 18.2
Best game: 189.24 = 54 point win over Eastern Washington
Worst game: 155.48 = 46 point loss to Oregon
Team stdev: 12.53